Brisbane, September 29 (Indian Abroad Newsdesk)
As the countdown to the Queensland election on October 26 begins, both Labor and the Liberal National Party (LNP) are gearing up for an intense four-week campaign to win over voters. With crucial issues like youth crime, health, housing, and cost-of-living pressures dominating discussions, the political landscape is rapidly shifting.
Recent polling data reveals a challenging outlook for Labor, with LNP leader David Crisafulli enjoying a significant lead. A Newspoll published on September 20 indicates the LNP is ahead by 55% to 45% on a two-party-preferred basis. This lead has become even more pronounced following the leadership change from Annastacia Palaszczuk to Steven Miles, with political commentators predicting a potential “big swing” in favor of the LNP, especially in seats held by narrow margins of 10% or less.
Labor’s position appears increasingly precarious. The party recently suffered a loss in the Ipswich-West byelection and barely retained the once-safe seat of Inala, garnering only 37% of the primary vote amid a significant swing of 19.3% to the LNP. This trend raises concerns about Labor’s ability to maintain its grip on key areas.
To combat rising dissatisfaction, the government has introduced various cost-of-living relief measures, such as cheaper public transport fares, energy bill rebates, and car registration discounts.
Labor’s stronghold in Brisbane is also under threat, with predictions of seat losses not only to the LNP but also to the Greens, who are targeting key inner-city electorates like McConnell and Cooper. Following their success in the 2022 federal elections, the Greens are optimistic about expanding their influence in state politics.
On the Gold Coast, the situation is equally challenging for Labor, with Housing Minister Meaghan Scanlon facing a tough battle to retain her seat in Gaven. With the LNP holding adjacent electorates, it is likely that several seats in the region will remain in their hands.
If current trends continue, Labor could potentially lose up to 25 seats, with 23 expected to shift to the LNP and two to the Greens, reducing their representation to the high twenties. Notably, large swings in Ipswich-West and Inala signal a broader shift in voter sentiment, driven by concerns over cost-of-living, crime, and the fading benefits of the “Covid swing” that previously aided Labor.
Despite these challenges, premier Steven Miles, who took office in December 2023, remains determined. He is focusing on health, housing, community safety, and energy policies as cornerstones of his campaign, acknowledging the uphill battle ahead.
As the campaign heats up, all eyes will be on how these issues resonate with voters and whether Labor can reclaim its footing in a rapidly changing political landscape.
